Everyone wants to time the exact bottom and the exact top. Almost nobody ever does. That’s why we usually emphasize DCA — dollar cost averaging in and out, instead of gambling everything on one perfect entry. When the market was topping, we covered risk management and top signals. Now that fear has taken over, we’ve flipped to the other side of the cycle: bottom patterns, trading in extreme fear, and potential entries like the $62K relief rally we broke down recently.
Hopefully our timing is right once again and we’re near the bottom. So today, let’s answer the question everyone is quietly asking: what if the bottom is in right now? What am I actually buying?
The 4-Year Cycle in Short
Crypto has historically moved in roughly four-year cycles, anchored around the Bitcoin halving. Accumulation at the lows, a halving-fueled bull run, a euphoric top, and then a brutal bear market that shakes out the tourists. Rinse and repeat. If this cycle rhymes with the previous ones, the bear market should bottom out around October this year. Cycles never repeat perfectly, but they rhyme often enough that ignoring them completely has been the more expensive mistake historically.
Will the exact bottom land in October? Maybe yes, maybe no. Honestly, it doesn’t matter that much.
Trade the Range, Not the Pico Bottom
Here’s the thing about exact bottoms: if you wait for the perfect entry, you’ll probably miss it. Nobody rings a bell at the low. By the time it’s obvious, crypto has already pumped 50%, and now buying back in feels impossible “because you missed it.” That psychological trap keeps people sidelined for entire bull markets.
We’re here to avoid exactly that. Instead of hunting the pico bottom, I trade a range and a period. As long as my average entry sits in the bottom zone, I don’t care if I nailed the exact candle.
Do I think this is the bottom right now? Honestly, no. But my plan doesn’t depend on me being right about that.
My DCA Setup
In our DCA strategy guide I explained that there are two styles of DCA: timewise and pricewise. Timewise means buying on a fixed schedule regardless of price. Pricewise means buying at predetermined price levels. I run a combination of both.
Timewise, my DCA officially starts in August — so that’s almost here. Pricewise, I’m DCAing below $60K until $40k, and I’ve already taken one entry on that side. If Bitcoin dumps further, my pricewise buys get filled at better levels. If it never comes back down, my timewise schedule makes sure I’m not left standing on the sidelines. Either way, I’m in.
The Shopping List: What I’m Buying If This Is the Bottom
So what goes in the cart? Below is my personal shopping list, in percentages of the capital I’ve set aside for this cycle. Keep in mind, this is not financial advice. I’m simply showing my plan and explaining the reasoning behind it. Hopefully you learn from it and build your own plan.
40% — Bitcoin
BTC gets the biggest allocation, half timewise and half pricewise, exactly as described above. I’m most confident in Bitcoin, and if history tells us anything, it’s that BTC is usually one of the first to reclaim its old all-time high when the bull market starts, while the alts lag behind. That’s why I want to position strong and early here. When it get’s back to old ATH, I’ll rotate half to strong altcoins.
Let’s say my average DCA entry lands around $50K. A move back to the old high at $126K would be a 2.5x return, and I expect that to happen within a year of the bottom. A 2.5x on your largest, safest position is a beautiful base for a portfolio.
20% — HYPE
By far the strongest coin of both the bull and the bear market. Hyperliquid is also one of the most profitable crypto projects per employee in history, and they have plenty of room left to scale: tokenized stocks, prediction markets, pre-market IPOs like they already did with SpaceX, and whatever else Jeff has planned. We’re also still waiting on the next big ecosystem airdrop.
With the buyback funded directly from revenue, this coin simply doesn’t get a big dip. It’s the only coin I held through the entire bear market, and it has treated me very well. My DCA here runs timewise on the same schedule as BTC — no pricewise buys, since I already hold a spot position.
10% — Solana
If the memecoin casino reopens, SOL should do well. It remains the best chain for low-cap shitters to run to nine or ten-figure market caps within a month — just look at the recent $ANSEM coin. When the gamblers come back, they’re coming back here. I want exposure to that before it happens, not after.
5% — Zcash
The privacy narrative is one I expect to grow this cycle as regulations tighten, and Zcash is the strongest contender in that corner of the market. A small allocation, but a deliberate one.
5% — NEAR
Strong AI narrative, and I want to hold at least one AI coin going into the bull market. NEAR is my pick.
20% — Dry Powder for Swing Trading
The last slice stays liquid for swing trading, whether that’s perps, memes, or any new project that gets real traction. I want to avoid the classic scenario where you spot a great project starting to pump, but all your liquidity is tied up in other positions. Liquidity is king. You need firepower ready to capitalize on bull market opportunities the moment they appear.
We’ll of course write trading content whenever we enter swing trades — whether that’s meme coins like DOGE, “retail” coins like XRP or XLM, or DeFi angles like AAVE and UNI. We’re here, and we’re actively trading everything.
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What I’m Not Buying
Just as important as the shopping list is the do-not-buy list. Three big no’s for me right now:
Ethereum. ETH really needs a new narrative. Last cycle it heavily underperformed the entire market, and without a fresh story I won’t buy it. Maybe I’ll grab a little ETH to pick up a CryptoPunk, Bored Ape, or Pudgy Penguin if NFTs start receiving airdrops again — but that’s a side quest, not a position.
XRP and other retail coins. These usually pump late in the cycle, when BTC is near its old all-time high and retail scales back in. Buying retail coins “too early” means your capital sits dead for months while everything else runs. Timing matters more than conviction here.
Old memes like FART, WIF, and POPCAT. Don’t buy old memes just because you think they’ll return to previous highs. 99% of them won’t. You can absolutely trade them, but wait for traction to actually come back instead of throwing darts in the dark hoping to hit a bullseye.
Farming Continues as Usual
None of this changes our airdrop farming. We keep farming as usual, and whenever we spot good new opportunities, we’ll cover them right here. Free tokens hit different when they’re earned at the bottom of the cycle.
The bear is almost over, guys. Cheer up. Enjoy some summer time before we fully lock back in during Q3. Some of our community members will retire this bull run — make sure you’re one of them.
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Final Words
Even though my DCA starts in a few weeks, there’s no guarantee I’m right. This could already be the bottom, and I might end up being the sucker who buys late. Or maybe crypto goes down forever, and I’m DCAing into something that bleeds to zero. Nobody knows.
I’m just a trader who has been in this market for 13 years and wants to position for one more bull run. The plan above is how I’m doing it: a clear allocation, a DCA schedule that removes emotion, dry powder for opportunities, and a strict list of what I’m avoiding. Build your own version, write it down, and stick to it when fear or euphoria tries to talk you out of it.
If you enjoyed this one, jump into the rest of our trading blogs and keep building the process.
As always, don’t forget to claim your bonus on Bybit below. See you next time!
FAQ
Is the crypto bottom in right now?
Nobody knows for certain. Based on the 4-year cycle, the bottom is more likely around October, but exact timing is impossible. That’s why DCAing over a range beats trying to catch the exact low.
What is the best strategy for buying the crypto bottom?
A combination of timewise and pricewise DCA. Buy on a fixed schedule and add extra buys at predetermined price levels. This guarantees you build a position whether the market dips further or reverses early.
Which coins should I buy at the bottom?
Bitcoin is historically the safest large allocation, since it usually recovers first. Beyond that, focus on projects with strong fundamentals or narratives — but always build your own plan and never blindly copy someone else’s portfolio.
Why avoid retail coins like XRP early in the cycle?
Retail coins typically pump late in the bull market, when Bitcoin approaches its old all-time high and retail investors return. Buying them too early ties up capital that could be working elsewhere.
