The FOMC October 28 decision drops today at 2:00 PM ET (18:00 UTC). Markets expect the Fed to hold rates at 3.75% to 4.00%. CME FedWatch prices that hold at roughly 90%, while a December hike sits near 73%. Kevin Warsh starts his press conference...
Fed
PEPE Triangle Long: My Limit Order Below the Market Before Big Tech Earnings
PEPE is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, and I have a limit long resting at 0.003912 on the 1000PEPE contract. That works out to $0.000003912 per coin. Price trades near 0.00407 right now, so the order sits about 4% below the...
PPI Hits 6.3%: Why Ethereum Fell and What It Means for Fed Hikes
September PPI inflation jumped to 6.3% year over year, far above the 5.4% forecast. Core PPI rose 5.0% against 4.4% expected. Hot producer prices raise the odds of another Fed hike, which lifts yields and pressures risk assets like Ethereum. As I...
Fed Rate Hike 2026: The First Hike in Three Years Lands on Crypto
The waiting is over. Today the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, lifting the target range to 3.75%–4.00%. This is the first Fed rate hike since 2023, and the vote was unanimous. Two weeks ago I wrote in my Bitcoin and the...
FOMC July Update: Fed Holds Rates, Airdrops Return, Binance EU Trouble & NFT News
Crypto feels like it should be nearing the end of the bear market. Maybe we’re in the last inning. That doesn’t mean we blindly start aping into everything with a ticker. I’m still picking and choosing my bets, farming airdrops, and trading when I...
BTC Uncertainty: Why Bitcoin Is Back at $60K After the Iran Ceasefire Rally
We are still enjoying all the World Cup vibes. I will attend another match in the stadium on Monday, but the market does not care about my schedule. We are still actively trading. Sometimes from the desk. Sometimes from the phone. Our ETH short...
Kevin Warsh Surprises Crypto Traders as Fed Holds Rates Steady
Bitcoin is down again since our update yesterday. We are now trading around $63,000, getting close to levels where I start paying attention for longer-term entries. The market still feels shaky though, and honestly, today’s biggest story...
Bitcoin and the Iran Ceasefire: The Levels I’m Watching Right Now
I'll be honest with you — the past week I have been absolutely consumed by World Cup fever. Between the matches, the group stage drama, and yes, maybe a few too many beers with friends, Bitcoin trading has been on the back burner. But I made a...
MegaETH TGE Goes Live: Airdrop Updates, WLFI Chaos, Powell Speaks and Wasabi Explodes
Crypto never sleeps. Neither do we. Yesterday we shorted Bitcoin and closed the trade for a clean +2R win. We even tweeted the close in real time. This morning we re-entered another short at 76.4k. Same idea. Same thesis. Just scalping the range...
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